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APPENDIX A: Detailed Tables

Appendix Table 1. Age-adjusted prevalence of diagnosed, undiagnosed, and total diabetes among adults aged 18 years or older, United States, 2017–2020.
Characteristic Diagnosed diabetes
Percentage (95% CI)
Undiagnosed diabetes
Percentage (95% CI)
Total diabetes
Percentage (95% CI)
Total 10.1 (9.2–11.0) 3.1 (2.6–3.8) 13.2 (12.0–14.5)
Sex
Men 11.6 (10.3–13.0) 2.7 (2.0–3.7) 14.2 (12.7–15.9)
Women 8.8 (7.6–10.2) 3.6 (2.6–5.0) 12.4 (10.5–14.6)
Race-ethnicity
White, Non-Hispanic 8.9 (7.6–10.4) 2.3 (1.5–3.5) 11.2 (9.5–13.2)
Black, Non-Hispanic 12.4 (10.8–14.1) 4.4 (3.2–6.2) 16.8 (15.3–18.5)
Asian, Non-Hispanic 11.1 (9.7–12.6) 5.4 (3.4–8.5) 16.4 (13.7–19.6)
Hispanic 13.0 (11.4–14.9) 4.6 (3.5–5.9) 17.6 (16.0–19.3)
Education
Less than high school 14.2 (12.3–16.2) 4.8 (3.3–6.9) 19.0 (16.9–21.3)
High school 11.9 (9.3–15.2) 4.0 (3.0–5.4) 16.0 (13.0–19.4)
More than high school 8.6 (7.8–9.5) 2.5 (1.9–3.4) 11.1 (10.3–12.0)
Appendix Table 2. Trends in age-adjusted prevalence of diagnosed, undiagnosed, and total diabetes among adults aged 18 years or older, United States, 2001–2020.
Time Period Diagnosed diabetes*
Percentage (95% CI)
Undiagnosed diabetes
Percentage (95% CI)
Total diabetes*
Percentage (95% CI)
2001–2004 7.1 (6.5–7.8) 3.2 (2.7–3.8) 10.3 (9.4–11.3)
2003–2006 7.4 (6.7–8.1) 2.8 (2.2–3.6) 10.2 (9.3–11.2)
2005–2008 7.7 (6.9–8.5) 2.9 (2.4–3.6) 10.6 (9.6–11.6)
2007–2010 7.9 (7.1–8.7) 3.2 (2.7–3.7) 11.1 (10.1–12.2)
2009–2012 8.1 (7.4–8.9) 3.2 (2.6–3.8) 11.3 (10.3–12.3)
2011–2014 8.7 (8.1–9.4) 2.7 (2.3–3.3) 11.5 (10.7–12.3)
2013–2016 9.4 (8.6–10.2) 2.6 (2.2–3.1) 12.0 (11.1–12.9)
2015–2018 9.8 (9.0–10.7) 2.9 (2.4–3.4) 12.7 (11.6–13.8)
2017–2020 10.1 (9.2–10.9) 3.1 (2.6–3.8) 13.2 (12.1–14.4)
Appendix Table 3. Age-adjusted prevalence of diagnosed diabetes by race andethnicity, education level, family income level, metropolitan residence, and sex among adults aged 18 years or older, United States, 2019–2021.
Characteristic Total
Percentage (95% CI)
Men
Percentage (95% CI)
Women
Percentage (95% CI)
Race and Ethnicity
American Indian or Alaska Native 13.6 (13.5–13.6) 13.4 (13.3–13.4) 13.7 (13.6–13.8)
Asian, non-Hispanic, overall 9.1 (8.2–10.1) 10.6 (9.0–12.3) 7.8 (6.6–9.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 12.1 (11.3–13.0) 11.5 (10.4–12.7) 12.5 (11.4–13.6)
Hispanic, overall 11.7 (10.9–12.6) 12.2 (11.1–13.5) 11.3 (10.2–12.5)
White, non-Hispanic 6.9 (6.6–7.1) 7.7 (7.4–8.1) 6.1 (5.8–6.4)
Education
Less than high school 13.1 (12.2–14.1) 12.7 (11.4–14.1) 14.8 (12.3–14.9)
High school 9.1 (8.6–9.5) 9.6 (9.0–10.2) 8.7 (8.0–9.3)
More than high school 6.9 (6.7–7.2) 7.9 (7.5–8.2) 6.1 (5.8–6.5)
Family income to poverty ratio
Less than 100% FPL 13.1 (12.1–14.1) 12.2 (10.8–13.8) 13.6 (12.4–15.0)
100–299% FPL 10.3 (9.9–10.8) 11.0 (10.3–11.7) 6.7 (6.1–7.3)
300–499% FPL 7.7 (7.3–8.3) 8.8 (8.4–9.9) 6.7 (6.0–7.2)
500% FPL or more 5.1 (4.9–5.4) 6.3 (5.9–6.8) 3.9 (3.6–4.3)
Metropolitan residence
Metropolitan 8.1 (7.8–8.3) 8.7 (8.3–9.0) 7.6 (7.2–7.9)
Nonmetropolitan 9.5 (8.7–10.4) 10.5 (9.7–11.5) 8.6 (7.6–9.8)
Appendix Table 4. Age-adjusted incidence of diagnosed diabetes among adults aged 18 years or older, United States, 2018–2019.
Characteristic Rate per 1,000 (95% CI)
Total 5.8 (4.9–6.7)a
Sex
Men 6.2 (5.0–7.7)a
Women 5.4 (4.3–6.7)a
Metropolitan residence
Metropolitan 6.0 (5.1–7.0)
Nonmetropolitan 4.3 (2.7–6.8)
Race and Ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic 4.6 (4.1–5.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 6.8 (5.3–8.7)
Asian, non-Hispanic 3.8 (2.4–6.0)
Hispanic 6.8 (5.4–8.6)
Education
Less than high school 7.1 (5.5–9.1)
High school 6.4 (5.4–7.7)
More than high school 4.5 (3.9–5.1)
Appendix Table 5. Age-adjusted prevalence of prediabetes according to various definitions of hyperglycemiaa among adults aged 18 years or older, United States, 2017–2020.
Characteristic Definition 1
Percentage (95% CI)
Definition 2
Percentage (95% CI)
Definition 3
Percentage (95% CI)
Total 36.5 (34.2–38.8) 22.2 (20.5–24.0) 10.8 (9.7–11.9)
Age, yearsa
18–44 27.8 (24.0–32.0) 12.6 (10.7–14.8) 5.8 (4.6–7.4)
45–64 44.8 (41.7–47.9) 30.2 (26.5–34.3) 13.8 (12.0–15.9)
≥65 48.8 (44.3–53.2) 38.1 (34.5–41.8) 20.8 (17.4–24.6)
Sex
Men 41.0 (37.3–44.8) 22.7 (20.4–25.3) 11.4 (9.6–13.4)
Women 32.0 (28.9–35.2) 21.6 (18.6–25.0) 10.2 (8.3–12.4)
Race and Ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic 35.7 (32.2–39.2) 19.5 (16.6–22.8) 9.2 (7.6–11.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 38.6 (35.4–41.8) 32.8 (29.6–36.1) 13.1 (11.0–15.6)
Asian, non-Hispanic 36.8 (32.4–41.5) 27.8 (24.3–31.7) 15.4 (12.7–18.6)
Hispanic 34.6 (31.2–38.2) 22.7 (19.5–26.2) 13.2 (11.1–15.6)
Education
Less than high school 39.1 (34.3–44.2) 26.8 (23.2–30.6) 16.7 (13.4–20.6)
High school 41.9 (36.0–48.0) 23.6 (20.4–27.3) 12.4 (10.4–14.7)
More than high school 34.6 (32.4–37.0) 21.1 (19.1–23.3) 9.3 (7.8–11.2)
Appendix Table 6. Age-adjusted prevalence and awareness of prediabetes among adults aged 18 years or older, United States, 2017–2020.
Characteristic Prediabetesa
Percentage (95% CI)
Prediabetes awarenessb
Percentage (95% CI)
Total 36.5 (34.2–38.8) 17.4 (13.7–21.9)
Sex
Men 41.0 (37.3–44.8) 15.9 (12.6–19.9)
Women 32.0 (28.9–35.2) 19.4 (13.2–27.5)
Race-ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic 35.7 (32.2–39.2) 16.0 (10.8–22.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 38.6 (35.4–41.8) 19.7 (15.1–25.1)
Asian, non-Hispanic 36.8 (32.4–41.5) 28.8 (18.5–42.0)
Hispanic 34.6 (31.2–38.2) 19.8 (14.8–26.1)
Education
Less than high school 39.1 (34.3–44.2) 16.3 (11.3–23.0)
High school 41.9 (36.0–48.0) 16.3 (9.6–26.3)
More than high school 34.6 (32.4–37.0) 18.3 (14.4–22.9)
Appendix Table 7. Trends in age-adjusted prevalence and awareness of prediabetes among adults aged 18 years or older, United States, 2005–2020.
Characteristic Prediabetesa
Percentage (95% CI)
Prediabetes awarenessb,c
Percentage (95% CI)
2005–2008 33.6 (31.9–35.2)  6.5 (5.3–7.9)
2007–2010 36.3 (34.6–38.1)  8.2 (6.7–9.9)
2009–2012 35.2 (33.2–37.3) 10.0 (8.3–11.9)
2011–2014 33.0 (30.7–35.4) 10.7 (9.0–12.5)
2013–2016 33.3 (31.1–35.6) 13.3 (11.0–16.0)
2015–2018  36.8 (34.6–39.1) 14.9 (12.4–17.8)
2017–2020  36.5 (34.3–38.7) 17.4 (13.8–21.6)
Appendix Table 8. Crude percentage of factors associated with diabetes-related complications among adults aged 18 years or older with diagnosed diabetes, United States, 2017–2020.
Risk factors for diabetes-related complications   Percentage (95% CI)
Smoking
Current tobacco user based on self-report or serum cotinine >10 ng/mL 22.1 (18.7–26.0)
Current cigarette smoker based on self-report 14.6 (12.2–17.3)
Former cigarette smoker 36.0 (30.5–41.8)
Overweight and obesity, according to body mass index (BMI)
BMI ≥25.0 kg/m2 89.8 (87.2–92.0)
   BMI 25.0–29.9 kg/m2 26.9 (24.0–30.0)
   BMI 30.0–39.9 kg/m2 47.1 (43.3–51.0)
   BMI ≥40.0 kg/m2 15.7 (12.4–19.7)
Physical inactivity 31.9 (28.5–35.6)
A1C
A1C≥7.0% 47.4 (41.1–53.8)
   A1C 7.0–7.9% 22.9 (18.7–27.8)
   A1C 8.0–9.0% 11.5 (8.3–15.7)
   A1C>9.0% 13.0 (10.5–15.9)
High blood pressure
Blood pressure ≥130/80 mmHg or taking antihypertensive medication 80.6 (77.5-83.3)
Blood pressure ≥140/90 mmHg or taking antihypertensive medication 70.8 (66.8–74.5)
High cholesterol, according to non-HDL cholesterol
Non-HDL ≥130 mg/dL 39.5 (33.1–46.2)
   Non-HDL 130–159 mg/dL 19.9 (16.3–24.1)
   Non-HDL 160–189 mg/dL 11.5 (8.1–16.1)
   Non-HDL ≥190 mg/dL 8.0 (5.7–11.1)
Appendix Table 9. Distribution of A1C levels among adults with diagnosed diabetes aged 18 years or older, overall and by age group, United States, 2017–2020.
A1C Total 18–44 years 45–64 years ≥65 years
<6.5% 32.6 (27.2–38.6) 48.1 (34.1–62.3) 28.5 (19.7–39.3) 32.8 (28.8–37.0)
6.5%–6.9% 20.0 (16.5–24.0) 6.1 (2.9–12.6) 19.3 (13.8–26.2) 24.3 (19.4–30.0)
7.0%–7.9% 22.9 (18.7–27.8) 15.3 (8.1–26.9) 22.5 (16.2–30.3) 25.5 (20.9–30.7)
8.0%–8.9% 11.0 (7.9–15.1) 11.1 (4.2–26.1) 12.8 (7.1–22.2) 9.1 (6.8–12.1)
9.0%–9.9% 6.9 (4.8–9.8) 9.0 (3.5–21.5) 7.6 (4.4–12.8) 5.7 (3.4–9.4)
≥10.0% 6.6 (5.0–8.5) 10.4 (5.2–19.6) 9.4 (6.6–13.1) 2.6 (1.5–4.8)
Appendix Table 10. Crude percentage of factors associated with prevention of diabetes-related complications among adults aged 18 years or older with diagnosed diabetes, United States, 2017–2020.
Preventive factors Percentage (95% CI)
At least one usual source of diabetes care 78.8 (73.8-83.0)
At least 150 minutes per week of leisure-time physical activity 24.1 (19.5-29.3)
Managing or losing weight to lower their risk for developing certain diseases 73.1 (69.5-76.4)
Among adults aged 40–75 years, % on statin therapy 57.8 (52.7-62.7)
Appendix Table 11. Crude prevalence of chronic kidney disease among adults aged 18 years or older, overall and by race and ethnicity, United States, 2017–2020.
Characteristic CKD stages 1–4
Percentage (95% CI)
CKD stages 3–4
Percentage (95% CI)
CKD awareness, a
Percentage (95% CI)
CKD definition 1 b
Total 39.2 (35.7–42.9) 15.7 (13.1–18.7) 32.5 (21.8–45.4)
Race-ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic 38.2 (31.7–45.2) 17.2 (13.4–21.9) 33.5 (19.5–51.1)
Black, non-Hispanic 46.6 (41.5–51.7) 23.1 (18.2–29.1) 31.2 (20.0–45.2)
Asian, non-Hispanic 35.1 (25.9–45.6) -- d -- d
Hispanic 38.5 (31.5–46.1) 8.9 (6.1–12.9) 29.9 (17.6–46.0)
   
Crude prevalence of chronic kidney disease among adults aged 18 years or older, overall and by race/ethnicity, United States, 2017–2020.
Characteristic CKD stages 1–4
Percentage (95% CI)
CKD stages 3–4
Percentage (95% CI)
CKD awareness, a
Percentage (95% CI)
CKD definition 2 c
Total 40.9 (36.8–45.0) 18.2 (15.0–22.0) 29.7 (20.2–41.4)
Race-ethnicity
White, non-Hispanic 40.1 (33.2–47.6) 20.7 (15.9–26.5) 30.3 (17.9–46.4)
Black, non-Hispanic 44.2 (40.0–48.5) 19.0 (14.7–24.3) 38.1 (25.8–52.2)
Asian, non-Hispanic 37.9 (28.9–47.7) 9.9 (5.3–17.8) -- d
Hispanic 39.7 (31.8–48.3) 10.6 (7.1–15.5) 25.0 (12.6–43.4) d

APPENDIX B: Detailed Methods and Data Sources

This section provides additional information about data sources and methods used in the National Diabetes Statistics Report.

Prevalence of Diabetes (Diagnosed and Undiagnosed) Among People of All Ages, United States, 2021

Data Sources

  • 2017–March 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • 2019–2021 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • Annual Estimates of the Resident Population by Sex, Single Year of Age, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2021, Population Division, US Census Bureau.

Methods

The total number of people with diabetes is the sum of the number of those aged 18 years or older with diagnosed or undiagnosed diabetes and the number of those younger than age 18 years with diagnosed diabetes. Undiagnosed diabetes for children and adolescents younger than age 18 years was not assessed because of insufficient sample size for reliable estimates. The 2017–March 2020 NHANES was used to calculate the percentage of adults aged 18 years or older with diagnosed and undiagnosed diabetes (see next section for detail). The 2019–2021 NHIS was used to calculate the percentage of children and adolescents younger than 18 years with diagnosed diabetes. These percentages were then applied to the corresponding July 1, 2021, US resident population estimates from the US Census Bureau to derive the total number of people with diabetes.

NHANES data collected from 2019 to March 2020 were combined with data from the 2017–2018 cycle to form a nationally representative sample of NHANES 2017–March 2020 pre-pandemic data. NCHS stopped all NHANES data collection for the 2019–2020 cycle after March 2020 because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Applying 2017–March 2020 NHANES estimates to the 2021 US resident population estimates has limitations. This methodology assumes that the prevalence of diabetes in 2021 was the same as it was in earlier years (2017–2018) and that the prevalence of diabetes in the resident population was identical to those in the civilian, noninstitutionalized population (from NHANES). Deviations from these assumptions may result in overestimated or underestimated numbers and rates.

Prevalence of Diabetes (Diagnosed and Undiagnosed) Among Adults Aged 18 Years or Older, United States, 2017–2020 and 2021

Data Sources

  • 2017–March 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • Annual Estimates of the Resident Population by Sex, Single Year of Age, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2021, Population Division, US Census Bureau.

Methods

The percentage of adults aged 18 years or older with diabetes (diagnosed or undiagnosed) was estimated using 2017–March 2020 NHANES data. People who self-reported being told by a doctor or health professional that they had diabetes (other than during pregnancy) were classified as having diagnosed diabetes. Those not reporting a history of diagnosed diabetes but who had either a fasting plasma glucose greater than or equal to 126 mg/dl or an A1C level greater than or equal to 6.5% were classified as having undiagnosed diabetes. For consistency with earlier estimates, fasting glucose values were adjusted using backward regression equations provided by NCHS. People with missing values for either fasting glucose or A1C and pregnant women were excluded. People with diagnosed diabetes from the interviewed sample were combined with people with undiagnosed diabetes from the fasting plasma glucose subsample. Appropriate sampling weights were used so that estimates were representative of the total US adult population.

References

National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. 2005–2006 Data Documentation, Codebook, and Frequencies https://wwwn.cdc.gov/Nchs/Nhanes/2005-2006/GLU_D.htm.

National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. 2007–2008 Data Documentation, Codebook, and Frequencies. Accessed May 17, 2023. https://wwwn.cdc.gov/Nchs/Nhanes/2007-2008/GLU_E.htm

National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. 2017–March 2020 Data Documentation, Codebook, and Frequencies. Accessed May 17, 2023. https://wwwn.cdc.gov/Nchs/Nhanes/2017-2018/P_GLU.htm

Trends in Prevalence of Diagnosed Diabetes, Undiagnosed Diabetes, and Total Diabetes Among Adults Aged 18 Years or Older, United States, 2001–2020

Data Source

  • 2001–March 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES), National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Methods

Percentages of diagnosed, undiagnosed, and total diabetes using overlapping 4-year survey periods during 2001–2020 were calculated among adults aged 18 years or older and age-adjusted by the direct method to the 2000 US Census standard population, using age groups 18–44, 45–64, and 65 years or older. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze varying trends in non-overlapping 2-year estimates. This analysis used age-adjusted estimates and permutation tests to identify a maximum of three points where linear trends in prevalence changed significantly in either direction or magnitude.

Reference

National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint Trend Analysis Software. Accessed May 17, 2023. https://surveillance.cancer.gov/joinpoint/

Prevalence of Diagnosed Diabetes, United States, 2017–2020 and 2021

Data Sources

  • 2017–March 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • 2019–2021 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • Annual Estimates of the Resident Population by Sex, Single Year of Age, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2021, Population Division, US Census Bureau.

Methods

The percentage of people with diagnosed diabetes was obtained from 2019–2021 NHIS data and 2017–March 2020 NHANES data. The percentage of people aged <20 years with diagnosed diabetes was obtained from NHIS based on information reported by a knowledgeable adult family member residing in the household. The percentage of people aged 20 years or older with diagnosed diabetes was obtained from self-reported data in the 2017–March 2020 NHANES. The combined estimate of diagnosed diabetes for all ages was applied to the July 1, 2021, US resident population from the US Census Bureau to derive the number of people with diagnosed diabetes for all ages and for children and adolescents younger than age 20 years.

Validated methods to distinguish between types of diabetes in surveys are not available. The percentage of adults aged 20 years or older with diagnosed diabetes who self-reported type 1 diabetes plus current insulin use and the percentage of adults aged 20 years or older with diagnosed diabetes who started using insulin within a year of their diagnosis were estimated from 2021 NHIS data. To estimate the number of adults aged 20 years or older with type 1 diabetes, these percentages were then applied to the derived number of adults aged 20 years or older with diagnosed diabetes. To estimate the number of young people with type 1 diabetes, the percentage of children and adolescents younger than age 20 years with type 1 diabetes (86.3%) calculated using prevalence data from the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study was applied to the derived number of children and adolescents younger than age 20 years with diagnosed diabetes.

Reference

Lawrence JM, Divers J, Ison S; SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth Study Group. Trends in prevalence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes in children and adolescents in the US, 2001-2017. JAMA. 2021;326(8):717–727.

Prevalence of Diagnosed Diabetes by Race and Ethnicity, Education Level, Income Level, and Metropolitan Residence Among Adults Aged 18 Years or Older, United States, 2019–2021

Data Sources

  • 2019–2021 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • National Data Warehouse (NDW), Indian Health Service (IHS).

Methods

With the exception of American Indian or Alaska Native (AI/AN) people, who are not well-represented in national surveys because of small population size, diagnosed diabetes was calculated overall and by race and ethnicity, education level, income level, and sex using 2019–2021 NHIS self-reported data. Three years of data were averaged to provide more statistically reliable estimates. Adults aged 18 years or older who self-reported being told by a doctor or health professional that they had diabetes were classified as having diagnosed diabetes.

Prevalence of diagnosed diabetes among AI/AN people was calculated using fiscal year 2021 data from the IHS NDW. This data system includes patient registration and encounter data that are received from IHS facilities, tribally operated programs, and urban and contract health systems. These health care facilities serve about 2.6 million AI/AN people who belong to 574 federally recognized tribes in 37 states. Data for active patients (i.e., those with at least one encounter during the preceding 3 years) aged 18 years or older were used to calculate these estimates. Diabetes cases among these patients were identified based on encounter data using International Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) diagnosis codes starting with 250 and ICD-10-CM (Tenth Revision) diagnosis codes starting with E10, E11, or E13. Patients were considered to have diagnosed diabetes if they had at least two encounters with one of these diagnosis codes reported during fiscal year 2021. Comparison of diabetes prevalence estimates calculated from NHIS and IHS NDW data should be interpreted with caution because of differences in the data sources and methods used to define diabetes. Additionally, there was a notable decrease in diabetes prevalence estimates for AI/AN people beginning in fiscal year 2020, which can be attributed to disruptions in clinical care related to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Education level was classified into three categories: less than high school, high school graduate, or more than high school. Metropolitan residence was based on the six-level urban-rural classification scheme for US counties and county-equivalent entities developed by NCHS. Metropolitan areas included “large central metro,” “large fringe metro,” “medium metro,” and “small metro” counties. Nonmetropolitan areas included “micropolitan” and “noncore” counties. Income level was based on the ratio of family income to the federal poverty level and classified into four categories: <100% federal poverty level (below poverty level), 100%–299% federal poverty level, 300%–499% federal poverty level, and ≥500% federal poverty level. To handle missing income data in NHIS, NCHS provides files of multiply imputed income values. Five imputation datasets were used to calculate prevalence estimates by income level.

Percentages for all subgroups were age-adjusted, using age groups 18−44, 45−64, and 65 years or older, by the direct method to the 2000 US Census standard population.

Reference

National Center for Health Statistics. Multiple Imputation of Family Income and Personal Earnings in the National Health Interview Survey: Methods and Examples. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; 2019. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nhis/tecdoc18.pdf

Ingram DD, Franco SJ. 2013 NCHS urban–rural classification scheme for counties. Vital Health Stat. 2014;2(166). https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/series/sr_02/sr02_166.pdf

Prevalence of Diagnosed Diabetes Among Adults Aged 18 Years or Older by Detailed Race and Ethnicity, United States, 2019–2021

Data Source

  • 2019–2021 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Methods

Beginning with the 2019 NHIS, data used to identify survey respondents in Hispanic and Asian subgroups were no longer publicly available. Estimates of diagnosed diabetes prevalence by detailed race and ethnicity were provided by NCHS’s Interactive Summary Health Statistics for Adults, by Detailed Race and Ethnicity, using 2019–2021 NHIS self-reported data. Adults aged 18 years or older who self-reported being told by a doctor or health professional that they had diabetes were classified as having diagnosed diabetes. Three years of data were averaged to provide more statistically reliable estimates. Two-sided 95% confidence intervals were calculated using the Clopper-Pearson method.

References

National Center for Health Statistics. Technical Notes for Interactive Summary Health Statistics for Adults, by Detailed Race and Ethnicity. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.  https://wwwn.cdc.gov/NHISDataQueryTool/SHS_ADULT3YR/SHS_3YR_Tech_Notes.pdf

Parker JD, Talih M, Malec DJ, et al. National Center for Health Statistics data presentation standards for proportions. Vital Health Stat; 2017;2(175). https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/series/sr_02/sr02_175.pdf

County-Level Prevalence and Incidence of Diagnosed Diabetes Among Adults Aged 20 Years or Older, United States, 2004 and 2021

Data Sources

  • 2003–2021 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • Annual Estimates of the Resident Population for Selected Age Groups by Sex for the United States, States, Counties, and Puerto Rico Commonwealth and Municipios: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2021, Population Division, US Census Bureau.
  • United States Diabetes Surveillance System (USDSS), National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Methods

Year-specific, county-level estimates and maps of prevalence and incidence of diagnosed diabetes are available from the USDSS website (https://gis.cdc.gov/grasp/diabetes/DiabetesAtlas.html). Data from the BRFSS and the US Census Bureau’s Population Estimates Program were used to estimate county-level prevalence and incidence of diagnosed diabetes among adults aged 20 years or older. Three years of data were used to improve the precision of the year-specific incidence estimates. For example, 2004 estimates used BRFSS survey data for 2003, 2004, and 2005. Two years of data were used for 2021 estimates, as 2022 data were not available at the time of analysis. County-level estimates for over 3,100 counties or county equivalents (e.g., parish, borough, municipality) in the 50 US states, Puerto Rico, and the District of Columbia were based on indirect model-dependent estimates using Bayesian multilevel modeling techniques.

This model-dependent approach uses a statistical model that “borrows strength” in making an estimate for one county from BRFSS data collected in other counties. For incidence, multilevel binomial regression models with random effects of demographic variables (age groups 20–44, 45–64, and 65 years or older; race and ethnicity; and sex) at the county level were developed. County-level prevalence was based on design-assisted model-based estimates using the power prior log-weights (PLOW) technique developed by Xie et al. Estimates were age-adjusted to the 2000 US Census standard population using age groups 20–44, 45–64, and 65 years or older.

References

Rao JNK. Small Area Estimation. John Wiley & Sons, Inc.; 2003.

Xie H, Barker LE, Rolka DB. Incorporating design weights and historical data into model-based small-area estimation. J Data Sci. 2020;18(1):115–131.

Barker LE, Thompson TJ, Kirtland KA, et al. Bayesian small area estimates of diabetes incidence by United States county, 2009. J Data Sci. 2013;11:249–269.

Incidence of Diagnosed Diabetes Among Adults Aged 18 Years or Older, United States, 2021

Data Sources

  • 2019–2021 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • 2017–March 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • Annual Estimates of the Resident Population by Sex, Single Year of Age, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2021, Population Division, US Census Bureau.

Methods

The rate of new cases of diabetes was calculated using 2021 NHIS data on respondents’ age at diagnosis and age at interview. Three-year averages of 2019–2021 NHIS were used to improve the precision of estimates by race and ethnicity and education level. Adults who reported being diagnosed with diabetes were asked at what age they were diagnosed. The number of years since diagnosis was calculated by subtracting the person’s age at diagnosis from the person’s current age. Adults who had a value of zero were identified as having been diagnosed with diabetes within the last year. In addition, half of the adults who had a value of one were classified as having been diagnosed within the last year. To calculate the rate, the numerator included the number of adults who were diagnosed with diabetes within the last year. The denominator was the estimate of the adult population, excluding those who had been diagnosed for more than 1 year and those who were categorized on the NHIS as “refused” or “don’t know” or who had missing values on the diabetes status question.

To estimate the number of new cases of diabetes for adults in 2021, the age-, sex-, race/ethnicity-specific rates of new cases from three-way cross-tabulations of 2019–2021 NHIS data were applied to the corresponding July 1, 2021, US resident population estimates from the US Census Bureau after excluding the number of adults who had been diagnosed with diabetes for more than 1 year, estimated from NHANES. These subgroup-specific numbers of adults were summed to obtain the estimated number of adults with newly diagnosed diabetes for the following groups: total population; age groups 18–44, 45–64, and 65 years or older; men and women; non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, non-Hispanic Asian, and Hispanic adults; metropolitan and nonmetropolitan residence. Age-adjusted incidence of diagnosed diabetes was calculated among adults aged 18 years or older by sex, race and ethnicity, education level, and metropolitan residence by the direct method to the 2000 US Census standard population, using age groups 18–44, 45–64, and 65 years or older.

Trends in Age-adjusted Incidence of Diagnosed Diabetes Among Adults Aged 18 Years or Older, United States, 2000–2021

Data Source

  • 2000–2021 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Methods

The same method used to calculate 2021 incidence was also applied to 2000–2021 NHIS data. For every year from 2000 to 2021, age-adjusted incidence of diagnosed diabetes was calculated among adults aged 18 years or older by the direct method to the 2000 US Census standard population, using age groups 18–44, 45–64, and 65 years or older. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze varying trends in annual age-adjusted incidence estimates. This analysis used the age-adjusted estimates and permutation tests to identify a maximum of three points where linear trends in incidence changed significantly in either direction or magnitude.

Reference

National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint Trend Analysis Software. Accessed May 17, 2023. https://surveillance.cancer.gov/joinpoint/

Incidence of Diagnosed Diabetes Among Children and Adolescents Younger Than Age 20 Years, United States, 2002–2018

Data Source

  • 2002–2018 SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth Study, SEARCH Study Group.

Methods

We reported data from the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study, a population-based registry of incident diabetes among children and adolescents younger than age 20 years from five clinical sites in the United States. Diabetes type was based on physician diagnosis. Estimates of incidence for type 1 diabetes were included for all patients younger than 20 years. Estimates for incidence of type 2 diabetes were only included for children and adolescents age 10 to 19 years since there are too few cases among patients younger than age 10 years for reliable estimates. Patients with all other types of diabetes were excluded.

Race and ethnicity were based on self-report, from medical records, or from geocoding for young people with missing data. Annual denominators included civilian children and adolescents who were younger than age 20 years on December 31 of the index year and who were civilian residents of the geographic study areas. These numbers were summed across the five clinical sites. Annual incidence rates, by type, were calculated as the number of valid, registered patients divided by the number of people in the surveillance networks over the same period across the five sites. Rates for each index year were presented as 2-year moving averages and were expressed per 100,000 youths, overall, and according to race and ethnicity for 2003 (2002–2003) through 2018 (2017–2018).

The 95% confidence intervals for the annual unadjusted rates were calculated with the use of the skew-corrected inverted-score test, assuming a binomial distribution. To estimate the number of young people in the United States with type 1 or type 2 diabetes, the incidence rates from the SEARCH study were applied to the total US population for the four racial and ethnic groups for the years of interest. Data for American Indian (AI) youths who participated in the SEARCH study were not shown, since rates cannot be generalized to all AI youths in the United States. Trends in incidence were modeled separately for type 1 and type 2 diabetes, with the number of diagnosed cases in each year as the outcome, the corresponding denominator as an offset, and the incidence year as the main predictor. The models were assumed to have a negative binomial distribution with a logarithmic link. Trends were tested using a generalized autoregressive moving average to account for serial correlation.

References

Hamman RF, Bell RA, Dabelea D, et al.; SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth Study Group. The SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study: rationale, findings, and future directions. Diabetes Care. 2014;37(12):3336–3344.

Wagenknecht LE, Lawrence JM, Isom S, et al. Trends in incidence of youth-onset type 1 and type 2 diabetes in the USA, 2002-18: results from the population-based SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2023;11(4):242–250. doi: 10.1016/S2213-8587(23)00025-6

Benjamin MA, Rigby RA, Stasinopoulos DM. Generalized autoregressive moving average models. J Am Stat Assoc. 2003;98(461):214–223.

Prevalence of Prediabetes Among People Aged 18 Years or Older, United States, 2017–2020 and 2021

Data Sources

  • 2017–March 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • Annual Estimates of the Resident Population by Single Year of Age and Sex for the United States: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2021, Population Division, US Census Bureau.

The percentage of adults aged 18 years or older with prediabetes was estimated using 2017–March 2020 NHANES data. People without diabetes were classified as having prediabetes if they had fasting plasma glucose values of 100 to 125 mg/dL or A1C values of 5.7% to 6.4%. In addition to this definition, prediabetes estimates according to other definitions were calculated, using 2-hour fasting glucose from an oral glucose tolerance test or more stringent glycemic criteria.

For consistency with earlier estimates, fasting glucose values were adjusted using backward regression equations provided by NCHS. People with missing values for either fasting glucose or A1C and pregnant women were excluded. To estimate the number of adults with prediabetes, the age-, sex-, race/ethnicity specific percentages from three-way cross-tabulations were applied to the corresponding July 1, 2021 US resident population estimates from the US Census Bureau. These subgroup-specific numbers of adults were summed to obtain the estimated number of adults with prediabetes for the following: total population; age groups 18–44, 45–64, and 65 years or older; men and women; non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, non-Hispanic Asian, and Hispanic adults.

Among those who tested positive for prediabetes, awareness was defined as (1) answered “yes” to the question, “Have you ever been told by a doctor or other health professional that you have any of the following: prediabetes, impaired fasting glucose, impaired glucose tolerance, borderline diabetes or that your blood sugar is higher than normal but not high enough to be called diabetes or sugar diabetes?” or (2) reported having prediabetes or borderline diabetes when asked whether they had diabetes.

Age-adjusted prevalence of prediabetes was calculated among adults aged 18 years or older by sex, race and ethnicity, and education level by the direct method to the 2000 US Census standard population, using age groups 18–44, 45–64, and 65 years or older. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze varying trends in annual age-adjusted prevalence estimates. This analysis used the age-adjusted estimates and permutation tests to identify a maximum of three points where linear trends in prediabetes prevalence changed significantly in either direction or magnitude.

References

American Diabetes Association. Classification and diagnosis of diabetes: standards of care in diabetes—2023. Diabetes Care. 2023;46(suppl 1):S19–S40.

National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. 2015-2016 Data Documentation, Codebook, and Frequencies. Accessed May 17, 2023. https://wwwn.cdc.gov/Nchs/Nhanes/2015-2016/GLU_I.htm.

National Cancer Institute. Joinpoint Trend Analysis Software. Accessed May 17, 2023. https://surveillance.cancer.gov/joinpoint/.

Risk Factors for Diabetes-Related Complications

Data Source

  • 2015–2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Methods

The percentages of adults aged 18 years or older with diagnosed diabetes who had selected risk factors were estimated using the following definitions:

Smoking

Current cigarette smoking status was based on self-report. Tobacco use was based on self-reported current cigarette smoking or serum cotinine level >10 ng/mL. Former cigarette smoker was based on both 1) no current tobacco use and 2) a history of smoking at least 100 cigarettes in a lifetime.

Overweight and Obesity

Overweight and obesity were classified according to body mass index of 25.0–29.9 kg/m2 (overweight), 30.0–39.9 kg/m2 (obesity), or 40.0 kg/m2 or higher (extreme obesity) calculated from measured values of height and weight.

Physical Inactivity

Physical inactivity was based on self-report of less than 10 minutes per week of moderate or vigorous activity in each of the physical activity categories of work, leisure time, and transportation.

High Blood Pressure

High blood pressure was based on average measured systolic blood pressure of 130 mmHg or higher or the average diastolic blood pressure of 80 mmHg or higher or self-reported current use of prescription medication for high blood pressure.

High Cholesterol

High cholesterol was calculated as measured total cholesterol level minus HDL cholesterol level. A non-HDL cholesterol value of 130 mg/dL is roughly equivalent to an LDL level of 100 mg/dL, which indicates an increased risk of diabetes-related complications and eligibility for statin therapy.

A1C

A1C was classified based on measured glycated hemoglobin, with values higher than 9% indicating poor glycemic control.

Preventing Diabetes-Related Complications

Data Source

  • 2017–March 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • 2021 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Methods

The percentages of adults aged 18 years or older with diagnosed diabetes who had selected protective factors were estimated from NHANES unless otherwise specified using the following definitions:

Usual Source for Diabetes Care
Physical Activity

Meeting the recommended physical activity goal was based on having at least 150 minutes per week of leisure-time physical activity.

Weight Management

Self-report of managing or losing weight to lower risk for developing certain diseases.

Statin Treatment

Statin therapy among adults aged 40–75 years with diagnosed diabetes was based on prescription information from a medication inventory.

A1C, Blood Pressure, Cholesterol, and Smoking (ABCs)

The ABCs definition was based on meeting all of the following criteria: A1C value <7.0%, blood pressure <130/80 mmHg, non-HDL cholesterol <130 mg/dL, and being a nonsmoker. A less stringent ABCs definition was based on meeting all of the following criteria: A1C value <8.0%, blood pressure <140/90 mmHg, non-HDL cholesterol <160 mg/dL, and being a nonsmoker.

ABC tests

Receipt of a blood test for A1C, a blood pressure examination, or a blood test for cholesterol or receipt of all three recommended ABC tests by a health professional in the past year was based on self-reported data from NHIS.

Vaccinations

Receipt of an influenza vaccination in the past year and receipt of a COVID-19 (including number of COVID-19 vaccinations), hepatitis B, or pneumococcal vaccination ever was based on self-reported data from NHIS.

References

American Diabetes Association. Standards of medical care in diabetes—2023. Diabetes Care. 2023;46(suppl 1).

American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists and American College of Endocrinology guidelines for the management of dyslipidemia and prevention of cardiovascular disease. Endocr Pract. 2017;23(suppl 2).

Coexisting Conditions and Complications Among Adults Aged 18 Years or Older with Diabetes

Data Sources

  • 2019–2020 National Inpatient Sample (NIS), Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality.
  • 2019–2020 Nationwide Emergency Department Sample (NEDS), Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality.
  • 2021 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • 2017–March 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES), National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • 2020 United States Renal Data System (USRDS) Annual Report.
  • 2021 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Methods

The number of emergency department (ED) visits for hypoglycemia (blood glucose <70 mg/dL) and hyperglycemic crisis in 2019 and 2020 were calculated using NEDS. Hyperglycemic crisis includes diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) and hyperglycemic hyperosmolar syndrome (HHS). DKA is characterized by hyperglycemia (blood glucose >250 mg/dL), metabolic acidosis, and increased blood ketone concentration. HHS is characterized by severe hyperglycemia (blood glucose >600 mg/dL), hyperosmolarity, and dehydration, without ketoacidosis.

Discharge disposition was classified as the proportion of patients who visited the ED and were treated and released; were admitted to a hospital; transferred to another hospital; transferred to a skilled nursing facility, an intermediate care facility, or home with home health care; left against medical advice; died; or had unknown disposition but were not admitted to a hospital. The number of hospitalizations for major cardiovascular diseases, lower-extremity amputation, hyperglycemic crisis and hypoglycemia in 2019 and 2020 were calculated using NIS. Crude rates were calculated using the proportion of the population with diabetes from NHIS.

Prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages 1–4 among US adults aged 18 years or older with diagnosed diabetes was calculated using laboratory data from the 2017–March 2020 NHANES and the 2009 and 2021 CKD Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). The 2009 CKD-EPI eGFR equation was based on serum creatinine, age, sex, and Black race. The updated 2021 equation was based on serum creatinine, age, and sex only. People with missing values for serum creatinine and pregnant women were excluded.

CKD awareness was based on self-report among adults with eGFR levels 15 to <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (i.e., moderate to severe CKD stages 3–4). Data on the numbers of people with end-stage kidney disease by primary cause (diabetes, high blood pressure, and glomerulonephritis) were obtained from the USRDS Annual Report Reference Tables.

Prevalence of vision disability, defined as severe vision difficulty or blindness, was calculated using self-reported data from the 2021 BRFSS.

References

National Kidney Foundation. K/DOQI clinical practice guidelines for chronic kidney disease: evaluation, classification, and stratification. Am J Kidney Dis. 2002;39(2 suppl 1):S1–266.

Inker LA, Eneanya ND, Coresh J, et al.; Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration. New creatinine–and cystatin C-based equations to estimate GFR without race. N Engl J Med. 2021;385(19)1737–1749. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2102953

Levey AS, Stevens LA, Schmid CH, et al; Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration. A new equation to estimate glomerular filtration rate. Ann Intern Med. 2009;150(9):604–612.

Johansen KL, Chertow GM, Foley RN, et al. US Renal Data System 2020 annual data report: epidemiology of kidney disease in the United States. Am J Kidney Dis. 2021;77(4)(suppl 1):Svii–Sviii, S1–S597.