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Creation and Evaluation of the Illinois Cancer Risk Index as a Predictor of Four Common Cancers

ORIGINAL RESEARCH — Volume 19 — November 17, 2022

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Figure 1.
Distribution by county of risk of the 4 most common cancers — lung, colorectal, breast, and prostate — in Illinois. Map A displays risk by the Illinois Cancer Risk Index (ICRI) for each county. Higher risk counties were located in the east-central portion of the state, with some also located in the far northern and southern portions of the state. Map B plots the common cancer mortality rate (CCMR), 2014–2018, for each county in Illinois. Counties in the 2 highest CCMR quintiles were located in the northeast and southern parts of Illinois, with some also located in the central portion of the state.

Distribution by county of risk of the 4 most common cancers — lung, colorectal, breast, and prostate — in Illinois. Map A displays risk by the Illinois Cancer Risk Index (ICRI) for each county. Higher risk counties were located in the east-central portion of the state, with some also located in the far northern and southern portions of the state. Map B plots the common cancer mortality rate (CCMR), 2014–2018, for each county in Illinois. Counties in the 2 highest CCMR quintiles were located in the northeast and southern parts of Illinois, with some also located in the central portion of the state.
County ICRI Levels, Illinois Cancer Risk Index CCMR range
Adams 2.216799338 Average 27.2–28.7
Alexander 2.444087695 High 25.7–27.2
Bond –4.380578947 Low 25.7–27.2
Boone 7.215588251 Very high 25.7–27.2
Brown –7.298549372 Very low 24.0–25.7
Bureau –1.43071986 Average 24.0–25.7
Calhoun –4.855307172 Low 19.5–24.0
Carroll –2.176511892 Average 25.7–27.2
Cass 0.86555653 Average 25.7–27.2
Champaign –0.445723063 Average 24.0–25.7
Christian 5.466752813 High 28.7–35.4
Clark 3.496914011 High 27.2–28.7
Clay 1.98102252 Average 24.0–25.7
Clinton –3.984181667 Low 24.0–25.7
Coles –0.041119708 Average 25.7–27.2
Cook 0.990786352 Average 27.2–28.7
Crawford –2.287715925 Average 24.0–25.7
Cumberland –9.36780711 Very low 19.5–24.0
DeKalb 3.716485961 High 27.2–28.7
DeWitt 2.65950246 High 27.2–28.7
Douglas –6.484072014 Low 24.0–25.7
DuPage –2.539425674 Low 24.0–25.7
Edgar 0.891185364 Average 25.7–27.2
Edwards –7.668748421 Very low 19.5–24.0
Effingham –5.379371494 Low 24.0–25.7
Fayette 0.68872117 Average 27.2–28.7
Ford 2.737998405 High 28.7–35.4
Franklin 4.720887939 High 28.7–35.4
Fulton 4.481021702 High 28.7–35.4
Gallatin –5.212315704 Low 24.0–25.7
Greene –1.754580215 Average 19.5–24.0
Grundy 8.882054859 Very high 28.7–35.4
Hamilton –7.087406251 Very low 19.5–24.0
Hancock –4.256978672 Low 19.5–24.0
Hardin –5.582425961 Low 24.0–25.7
Henderson –5.121135896 Low 19.5–24.0
Henry 0.513533619 Average 25.7–27.2
Iroquois 2.601617754 High 28.7–35.4
Jackson 2.507206441 High 27.2–28.7
Jasper –8.401371317 Very low 19.5–24.0
Jefferson 1.770525053 Average 27.2–28.7
Jersey –1.258764951 Average 24.0–25.7
Jo Daviess –5.30041805 Low 24.0–25.7
Johnson –5.195538373 Low 19.5–24.0
Kane 1.841744962 Average 24.0–25.7
Kankakee 9.379546338 Very high 28.7–35.4
Kendall 4.681568249 High 25.7–27.2
Knox 1.332599524 Average 27.2–28.7
Lake 0.870935351 Average 28.7–35.4
LaSalle 5.669163712 High 24.0–25.7
Lawrence 2.48515083 High 27.2–28.7
Lee 0.706769345 Average 27.2–28.7
Livingston 1.500310072 Average 25.7–27.2
Logan 0.260141218 Average 25.7–27.2
Macon 3.308056677 High 27.2–28.7
Macoupin 5.608384825 High 28.7–35.4
Madison 2.604629481 High 28.7–35.4
Marion 8.120485529 Very high 28.7–35.4
Marshall –0.185686442 Average 25.7–27.2
Mason 5.242558895 High 25.7–27.2
Massac 2.671288898 High 24.0–25.7
McDonough –0.097517126 Average 27.2–28.7
McHenry 1.552356659 Average 25.7–27.2
McLean 3.141181222 High 25.7–27.2
Menard –0.119184555 Average 25.7–27.2
Mercer –4.06600076 Low 24.0–25.7
Monroe –2.870841123 Low 24.0–25.7
Montgomery 1.960420187 Average 27.2–28.7
Morgan 2.837240829 High 28.7–35.4
Moultrie –8.621253698 Very low 24.0–25.7
Ogle 1.849274423 Average 27.2–28.7
Peoria 6.099818927 High 27.2–28.7
Perry 1.199605416 Average 27.2–28.7
Piatt –6.257683417 Low 19.5–24.0
Pike –2.874877121 Low 24.0–25.7
Pope –6.992855878 Very Low 19.5–24.0
Pulaski –5.067809674 Low 19.5–24.0
Putnam –4.89849348 Low 19.5–24.0
Randolph –0.780709522 Average 25.7–27.2
Richland –2.505624738 Average 24.0–25.7
Rock Island 1.138232555 Average 25.7–27.2
Saline 9.045043492 Very high 28.7–35.4
Sangamon 2.554330748 High 27.2–28.7
Schuyler 0.414808163 Average 19.5–24.0
Scott –4.397325493 Low 19.5–24.0
Shelby –3.149582297 Low 25.7–27.2
St. Clair –1.054286324 Average 28.7–35.4
Stark –5.81489276 Low 19.5–24.0
Stephenson 4.498989772 High 27.2–28.7
Tazewell 3.266639608 High 27.2–28.7
Union –0.583847446 Average 19.5–24.0
Vermilion 10.15660931 Very high 28.7–35.4
Wabash –1.689835769 Average 19.5–24.0
Warren –4.303920216 Low 19.5–24.0
Washington –7.12420722 Very low 19.5–24.0
Wayne –3.096825135 Low 25.7–27.2
White –6.707720343 Low 19.5–24.0
Whiteside 0.248622401 Average 25.7–27.2
Will 6.167540737 High 25.7–27.2
Williamson 5.760631093 High 28.7–35.4
Winnebago 10.77589956 Very high 28.7–35.4
Woodford 0.972921003 Average 27.2–28.7

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