Mortality Trends in Colorectal Cancer in China During 2000–2015: A Joinpoint Regression and Age-Period-Cohort Analysis
ORIGINAL RESEARCH — Volume 15 — December 13, 2018
PEER REVIEWED
Figure 1.
Colorectal cancer mortality per 100,000 persons in urban and rural China, 2002–2015. Data source: China Health Statistics Yearbook
(15).
| Year | Urban | Rural |
|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 7.90 | 5.69 |
| 2003 | 7.87 | 6.57 |
| 2004 | 9.23 | 5.6 |
| 2005 | 8.31 | 6.3 |
| 2006 | 11.17 | 6.4 |
| 2007 | 14.9 | 7.42 |
| 2008 | 14.71 | 7.84 |
| 2009 | 14.45 | 8.9 |
| 2010 | 13.12 | 8.07 |
| 2011 | 13.79 | 7.74 |
| 2012 | 12.59 | 8.18 |
| 2013 | 12.27 | 7.57 |
| 2014 | 12.24 | 8.43 |
| 2015 | 12.92 | 10.46 |
Figure 2.
Differences in colorectal cancer mortality based on age, period, and cohort in urban and rural China, 2000–2015. A, Age-specific crude mortality of colorectal cancer by year in urban China, based on age. B, Age-specific crude mortality of colorectal cancer by year in rural China, based on age. C, Crude mortality of colorectal cancer in 13 age groups during 2000–2015 in urban China, based on period. D, Crude mortality of colorectal cancer in 13 age groups during 2000–2015 in rural China, based on period. E, Age-specific crude mortality of colorectal cancer in urban China, based on cohort. F, Age-specific crude mortality of colorectal cancer in rural China, based on cohort. Crude mortality rate (per 100,000 persons) based on data from China Health Statistics Yearbook
. Data for 2000 were not available; thus, we used as a substitute the available data from the nearest year (2002).
| Age Group | Figure 2A and 2C, Urban | Figure 2B and 2D, Rural | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 2005 | 2010 | 2015 | 2000 | 2005 | 2010 | 2015 | |
| 20-24 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 0.20 |
| 25-29 | 0.82 | 0.53 | 0.45 | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.74 | 0.89 | 0.50 |
| 30-34 | 1.43 | 1.28 | 0.83 | 0.95 | 1.89 | 1.25 | 1.30 | 1.32 |
| 35-39 | 2.18 | 1.98 | 1.75 | 1.32 | 2.90 | 3.03 | 1.73 | 1.69 |
| 40-44 | 3.64 | 2.94 | 3.16 | 2.61 | 2.51 | 3.73 | 2.63 | 2.88 |
| 45-49 | 6.91 | 6.23 | 5.58 | 3.99 | 6.35 | 4.37 | 5.11 | 5.22 |
| 50-54 | 11.63 | 10.93 | 10.2 | 10.32 | 8.89 | 7.30 | 6.93 | 10.37 |
| 55-59 | 15.15 | 14.13 | 15.4 | 13.53 | 12.93 | 12.60 | 12.65 | 12.38 |
| 60-64 | 25.51 | 27.78 | 27.47 | 28.04 | 20.23 | 20.45 | 21.63 | 24.37 |
| 65-69 | 39.34 | 35.47 | 41.03 | 46.63 | 23.11 | 33.91 | 28.54 | 41.41 |
| 70-74 | 66.41 | 57.72 | 68.00 | 61.36 | 50.50 | 40.66 | 48.82 | 59.89 |
| 75-79 | 89.48 | 90.28 | 114.56 | 88.39 | 57.77 | 80.14 | 65.90 | 85.36 |
| 80-84 | 111.68 | 116.56 | 167.01 | 157.49 | 82.12 | 71.84 | 103.72 | 108.34 |
| Age | 1920-24 | 1925-29 | 1930-34 | 1935-39 | 1940-44 | 1945-49 | 1950-54 | 1955-59 | 1960-64 | 1965-69 | 1970-74 | 1975-79 | 1980-84 | 1985-89 | 1990-94 | 1995-99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figure E, Urban | ||||||||||||||||
| 20-24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| 25-29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.82 | 0.53 | 0.45 | 0.44 | — |
| 30-34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.43 | 1.28 | 0.83 | 0.95 | — | — |
| 35-39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.18 | 1.98 | 1.75 | 1.32 | — | — | — |
| 40-44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 2.94 | 3.16 | 2.61 | — | — | — | — |
| 45-49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.91 | 6.23 | 5.58 | 3.99 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50-54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.63 | 10.93 | 10.20 | 10.32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 55-59 | — | — | — | — | — | 15.15 | 14.13 | 15.40 | 13.53 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60-64 | — | — | — | — | 25.51 | 27.78 | 27.47 | 28.04 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 65-69 | — | — | — | 39.34 | 35.47 | 41.03 | 46.63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 70-74 | — | — | 66.41 | 57.72 | 68.00 | 61.36 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 75-79 | — | 89.48 | 90.28 | 114.56 | 88.39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 80-84 | 111.68 | 116.56 | 167.01 | 157.49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Figure 2F, Rural | ||||||||||||||||
| 20-24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.26 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 0.20 |
| 25-29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.45 | 0.74 | 0.89 | 0.50 | — |
| 30-34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.89 | 1.25 | 1.30 | 1.32 | — | — |
| 35-39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 3.03 | 1.73 | 1.69 | — | — | — |
| 40-44 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 3.73 | 2.63 | 2.88 | — | — | — | — |
| 45-49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.35 | 4.37 | 5.11 | 5.22 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 50-54 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8.89 | 7.30 | 6.93 | 10.37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 55-59 | — | — | — | — | — | 12.93 | 12.60 | 12.65 | 12.38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 60-64 | — | — | — | — | 20.23 | 20.45 | 21.63 | 24.37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 65-69 | — | — | — | 23.11 | 33.91 | 28.54 | 41.41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 70-74 | — | — | 50.50 | 40.66 | 48.82 | 59.89 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 75-79 | — | 57.77 | 80.14 | 65.9 | 85.36 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 80-84 | 82.12 | 71.84 | 103.72 | 108.34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
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