Wireless Substitution: Early Release of Estimates From the National Health Interview Survey, January - June 2010
by Stephen J. Blumberg, Ph.D., and Julian V. Luke, Division of Health Interview Statistics, National Center for Health Statistics
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Preliminary results from the January-June 2010 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) indicate that the number of American homes with only wireless telephones continues to grow. More than one of every four American homes (26.6%) had only wireless telephones (also known as cellular telephones, cell phones, or mobile phones) during the first half of 2010–an increase of 2.1 percentage points since the second half of 2009. In addition, nearly one of every six American homes (15.9%) received all or almost all calls on wireless telephones despite having a landline. This report presents the most up-to-date estimates available from the federal government concerning the size and characteristics of these populations.
NHIS Early Release Program
This report is published as part of the NHIS Early Release Program. In May and December of each year, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) releases selected estimates of telephone coverage for the civilian noninstitutionalized U.S. population based on data from NHIS, along with comparable estimates from NHIS for the previous 3 years. The estimates are based on in-person interviews that NHIS conducts continuously throughout the year to collect information on health status, health-related behaviors, and health care utilization. The survey also includes information about household telephones and whether anyone in the household has a wireless telephone.
Two additional reports are published as part of the NHIS Early Release Program. Early Release of Selected Estimates Based on Data From the National Health Interview Survey is published quarterly and provides estimates for 15 selected measures of health. Health Insurance Coverage: Early Release of Estimates From the National Health Interview Survey is also published quarterly and provides additional estimates regarding health insurance coverage.
For many years, NHIS has asked respondents to provide residential telephone numbers, to permit recontact of survey participants. Starting in 2003, additional questions were asked to determine whether a family had a landline telephone. NHIS families were considered to have landline telephone service if the survey respondent for each family reported that there was “at least one phone inside your home that is currently working and is not a cell phone.”
A “family” can be an individual or a group of two or more related persons living together in the same housing unit (a “household”). Thus, a family can consist of only one person, and more than one family can live in a household (including, for example, a household where there are multiple single-person families, as when unrelated roommates are living together).
The survey respondent for each family was also asked whether “anyone in your family has a working cellular telephone.” Families are identified as “wireless families” if respondents reported that someone in the family had a working cellular telephone at the time of interview. This person (or persons) could be a civilian adult, a member of the military, or a child.
Households are identified as “wireless-only” if they include at least one wireless family and if there are no working landline telephones inside the household. Persons are identified as wireless-only if they live in a wireless-only household. A similar approach is used to identify adults living in households with no telephone service (neither wireless nor landline). Household telephone status (rather than family telephone status) is used in this report because most telephone surveys do not attempt to distinguish between families when more than one family lives in the same household.
From January through June 2010, information on household telephone status was obtained for 17,619 households that included at least one civilian adult or child. These households included 33,780 civilian adults aged 18 years and over and 12,234 children under age 18.
Analyses of demographic characteristics are based on data from the NHIS Person and Household files. Demographic data for all civilian adults living in interviewed households were used in these analyses. Estimates stratified by poverty status are based on reported income only, because imputed income values are not available until a few months after the annual release of NHIS microdata. Household income was unknown for 13% of adults.
Analyses of selected health measures are based on data from the NHIS Sample Adult file. Health-related data for one civilian adult randomly selected from each family were used in these analyses. From January through June 2010, data on household telephone status and selected health measures were collected from 14,112 randomly selected adults.
Because NHIS is conducted throughout the year and the sample is designed to yield a nationally representative sample each week, data can be analyzed quarterly. Weights are created for each calendar quarter of the NHIS sample. NHIS data weighting procedures are described in more detail in a previous NCHS report (Botman, et al., 2000 pdf icon[PDF – 300 KB]). To provide access to the most recent information from NHIS, estimates using the January-June 2010 data are being released prior to final data editing and final weighting. These estimates should be considered preliminary. If estimates are produced using the final data files, the estimates may differ slightly from those presented here.
Point estimates and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using SUDAAN software, to account for the complex sample design of NHIS. Differences between percentages were evaluated by using two-sided significance tests at the 0.05 level. Terms such as “more likely” and “less likely” indicate a statistically significant difference. Lack of comment regarding the difference between any two estimates does not necessarily mean that the difference was tested and found to be not significant. Because of small sample sizes, estimates based on less than 1 year of data may have large variances, and caution should be used in interpreting such estimates.
In the first 6 months of 2010, more than one of every four households (26.6%) did not have a landline telephone but did have at least one wireless telephone (Table 1). Approximately 24.9% of all adults (approximately 57 million adults) lived in households with only wireless telephones; 29.0% of all children (more than 21 million children) lived in households with only wireless telephones.
The percentage of households that are wireless-only has been steadily increasing. The 2.1-percentage-point increase from the last 6 months of 2009 through the first 6 months of 2010 is similar to the 1.8-percentage-point increase observed from the first 6 months of 2009 through the last 6 months of 2009 and to the 2.5-percentage-point increase observed from the last 6 months of 2008 through the first 6 months of 2009.
The percentage of adults living in wireless-only households has also been increasing steadily (see Figure). During the first 6 months of 2010, one of every four adults lived in wireless-only households. One year before that (i.e., during the first 6 months of 2009), one of every five adults lived in wireless-only households. And 2 years before that (i.e., during the first 6 months of 2007), only one of every eight adults lived in wireless-only households.
The percentage of children living in wireless-only households is also growing. The 3.1-percentage-point increase from the last 6 months of 2009 is not as large as the 4.6-percentage-point increase from the first 6 months of 2009 to the last 6 months of 2009. However, these increases represent the two largest 6-month increases observed since 2003, when NHIS began collecting data on wireless-only households.
The percentages of adults and children living without any telephone service have remained relatively unchanged over the past 3 years. Approximately 2.0% of households had no telephone service (neither wireless nor landline). Nearly 4 million adults (1.7%) and 1.2 million children (1.7%) lived in these households.image icon
The percentage of U.S. civilian noninstitutionalized adults living in wireless-only households is shown by selected demographic characteristics and by survey time period in Table 2. For the period January–June 2010,
- More than half of adults aged 25–29 years (51.3%) lived in households with only wireless telephones. This is the first time that the number of adults in wireless-only households has exceeded the number of adults in landline households in any age range examined.
- Two in five adults aged 18–24 years (39.9%) or 30–34 years (40.4%) lived in households with only wireless telephones. As age increased from 35 years, the percentage of adults living in households with only wireless telephones decreased: 27.0% for adults aged 35–44; 16.9% for adults aged 45–64; and 5.4% for adults aged 65 and over.
- More than two in three adults living only with unrelated adult roommates (69.4%) were in households with only wireless telephones. This is the highest prevalence rate for the population subgroups examined.
- Nearly half of all adults renting their home (47.1%) had only wireless telephones. Adults renting their home were more likely than adults owning their home (15.5%) to be living in households with only wireless telephones.
- Men (26.2%) were more likely than women (23.7%) to be living in households with only wireless telephones.
- Adults living in poverty (39.3%) and adults living near poverty (32.9%) were more likely than higher income adults (21.7%) to be living in households with only wireless telephones.
- Adults living in the Midwest (26.6%), South (29.3%), and West (23.5%) were more likely than adults living in the Northeast (15.8%) to be living in households with only wireless telephones.
- Hispanic adults (34.7%) were more likely than non-Hispanic white adults (22.7%) or non-Hispanic black adults (28.5%) to be living in households with only wireless telephones.
The demographic differences noted in the previous section are based on the distribution of household telephone status within each demographic group. When examining the population of wireless-only adults, some readers may instead wish to consider the distribution of various demographic characteristics within the wireless-only adult population. For example, although young adults aged 18–29 years were more likely than older adults to live in households with only wireless telephones, these young adults made up fewer than half (39.8%) of all wireless-only adults. Young adults were a minority among all wireless-only adults because young adults made up only 22% of the total adult population.
Table 3 presents the percent distribution of selected demographic characteristics for adults living in households with only wireless telephones, by survey time period. The estimates in this table reveal that the distributions of selected demographic characteristics changed little over the 4-year period shown. The exceptions were related to sex, age, employment status, and household structure. From 2007 to the first 6 months of 2010,
- The proportion of women among all wireless-only adults increased from approximately 47% to 49.1%.
- Among all wireless-only adults, the proportion of adults aged 30 years and over has steadily increased. In the first 6 months of 2010, the majority of wireless-only adults (60.2%) were aged 30 and over, up from 49.3% in the first 6 months of 2007.
- The proportion of employed adults among all wireless-only adults has decreased from 77.1% to 69.7%. Over the same time period, the proportion of adults with an employment status other than working, keeping house, or going to school increased. These adults (largely unemployed or retired) made up 19.5% of wireless-only adults in the first 6 months of 2010, up from 12.1% in the first 6 months of 2007.
- Among all wireless-only adults, the proportion of adults living with children has steadily increased. In the first 6 months of 2010, 40.9% of wireless-only adults were living with children, up from 34.6% in the first 6 months of 2007.
Selected Health Measures by Household Telephone Status
Many health surveys, political polls, and other research are conducted using random-digit-dial telephone surveys. Until recently, these surveys did not include wireless telephone numbers in their samples. Now, despite operational challenges, most major survey research organizations are including wireless telephone numbers when conducting random-digit-dial telephone surveys. If they did not, the exclusion of households with only wireless telephones (along with the small proportion of households that have no telephone service) could bias results. This bias—known as coverage bias—could exist if there are differences between persons with and without landline telephones for the substantive variables of interest.
The NHIS Early Release Program updates and releases estimates for 15 key health indicators every 3 months. Table 4 presents estimates by household telephone status (landline, wireless-only, or without any telephone service) for all but two of these measures. (“Pneumococcal vaccination” and “personal care needs” were not included because these indicators are limited to older adults aged 65 years and over.) For the period January–June 2010,
- The prevalence of having five or more alcoholic drinks in 1 day during the past year among wireless-only adults (33.1%) was substantially higher than the prevalence among adults living in landline households (19.4%). Wireless-only adults were also more likely to be current smokers than were adults living in landline households.
- Compared with adults living in landline households, wireless-only adults were more likely to report that their health status was excellent or very good, more likely to engage in regular leisure-time physical activity, and less likely to have ever been diagnosed with diabetes.
- The percentage without health insurance coverage at the time of interview among wireless-only adults under 65 years of age (28.5%) was more than twice as high as the percentage among adults in that age group living in landline households (14.0%).
- Compared with adults living in landline households, wireless-only adults were more likely to have experienced financial barriers to obtaining needed health care, and they were less likely to have a usual place to go for medical care. Wireless-only adults were also less likely to have received an influenza vaccination during the previous year.
- Wireless-only adults (48.7%) were more likely than adults living in landline households (36.5%) to have ever been tested for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), the virus that causes AIDS.
The potential for bias due to undercoverage remains a real and growing threat to surveys conducted only on landline telephones. Telephone surveys limited to landline households may still be viable for health surveys of all adults and for surveys of most subpopulations regarding their health status (see Blumberg and Luke, 2009external icon). However, for health-related behaviors, health care service use indicators, and health care access measures (such as those in Table 4 ), caution is warranted when using landline surveys to draw inferences about subpopulations more likely to be wireless-only (e.g., young or low-income adults).
The potential for bias due to undercoverage is not the only threat to surveys conducted on landline telephones. Researchers are also concerned that some people living in households with landlines cannot be reached on those landlines because they rely on wireless telephones for all or almost all of their calls.
In 2007, a new question was added to the survey for persons living in families with both landline and cellular telephones. The respondent for the family was asked to consider all of the telephone calls his or her family receives and to report whether “all or almost all calls are received on cell phones, some are received on cell phones and some on regular phones, or very few or none are received on cell phones.” This new question permits the identification of persons living in “wireless-mostly” households—defined as households with both landline and cellular telephones in which all families receive all or almost all calls on cell phones.
Among households with both landline and wireless telephones, 27.3% received all or almost all calls on the wireless telephones, based on data for the period January–June 2010. These wireless-mostly households make up 15.9% of all households.
The percentage of adults living in wireless-mostly households has been increasing (see Table 5). During the first 6 months of 2010, approximately 40 million adults (17.7%) lived in wireless-mostly households. This prevalence estimate was higher than the estimate for the last 6 months of 2009 (16.3%) and substantially greater than the estimate for the first 6 months of 2007 (14.0%).
Table 5 presents the percentage of adults living in wireless-mostly households, by selected demographic characteristics and by survey time period. For the period January–June 2010,
- Adults working at a job or business (20.8%) and adults going to school (23.5%) were more likely to be living in wireless-mostly households than were adults keeping house (14.5%) or with another employment status such as retired or unemployed (11.5%).
- Adults with college degrees (20.3%) were more likely to be living in wireless-mostly households than were high school graduates (16.0%) or adults with less education (12.0%).
- Adults living with children (23.3%) were more likely than adults living alone (10.1%) or with only adult relatives (15.7%) to be living in wireless-mostly households.
- Adults living in poverty (11.0%) and adults living near poverty (12.6%) were less likely than higher income adults (20.8%) to be living in wireless-mostly households.
- Adults renting their home (13.9%) were less likely to be living in wireless-mostly households than were adults owning their home (19.6%).
Research by Boyle, Lewis, and Tefft (2009)external icon suggests that the majority of adults living in wireless-mostly households are reachable using their landline telephone number. NHIS data cannot be used to estimate the proportion of wireless-only adults who are unreachable or to estimate the potential for bias due to their exclusion from landline surveys.
References and Other Sources of Information
For more information about the potential implications for health surveys that are based on landline telephone interviews, see
- Blumberg SJ, Luke JV. Reevaluating the need for concern regarding noncoverage bias in landline surveysexternal icon. Am J Public Health 99:1806–10. 2009.
- Blumberg SJ, Luke JV, Cynamon ML, Frankel MR. Recent trends in household telephone coverage in the United States. In: Lepkowski JM et al., eds, Advances in telephone survey methodology. New York: John Wiley and Sons. pp 56–86. 2008.
- Boyle JM, Lewis F, Tefft B. Cell phone mainly households: Coverage and reach for telephone surveys using RDD landline samplesexternal icon. Survey Practice [serial online]. 2009.
When including wireless telephone numbers in random-digit-dial surveys, researchers have many methodological, statistical, operational, legal, and ethical issues to consider. These issues have recently been described in a report from a task force of the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR). That task force included staff from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and its report is available online:
- AAPOR Cell Phone Task Forceexternal icon. New considerations for survey researchers when planning and conducting RDD telephone surveys in the U.S. with respondents reached via cell phone numbers [online]. American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR). 2010.
For more information about NHIS and the NHIS Early Release Program, or to find other Early Release reports, please see the following:
- National Health Interview Survey Website.
- NHIS Early Release Program.
- Botman SL, Moore TF, Moriarity CL, Parsons VL. Design and estimation for the National Health Interview Survey, 1995–2004 pdf icon[PDF – 300 KB]. National Center for Health Statistics. Vital Health Stat 2(130). 2000.
Blumberg SJ, Luke JV. Wireless substitution: Early release of estimates from the National Health Interview Survey, January–June 2010. National Center for Health Statistics. December 2010. Available from: /nchs/nhis.htm.
- Table 1. Percent distribution of household telephone status, by date of interview, for households, adults, and children: United States, January 2007-June 2010
- Table 2. Percentage of adults living in wireless-only households, by selected demographic characteristics and by calendar half-years: United States, January 2007-June 2010
- Table 3. Percent distribution of selected demographic characteristics, by date of interview, for adults living in wireless-only households: United States, January 2007-June 2010
- Table 4. Prevalence rates (and 95% confidence intervals) for selected measures of health-related behaviors, health status, health care service use, and health care access for adults aged 18 years and over, by household telephone status: United States, January–June 2010
- Table 5. Percentage of adults living in wireless-mostly households, by selected demographic characteristics and by calendar half-years: United States, July 2007–June 2010