Purpose
CFA uses data, modeling, and analytics to assess public health threats. We use a range of methods and approaches to support public health response and decision-making.
Technical Briefs
A technical brief is a succinct report covering modeling and analytic results that answer a public health decision-maker question of interest. CFA recently released two technical briefs that explore the potential spread of clade I monkeypox in the United States, given the ongoing clade I monkeypox outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo:
- This study explores the impact of household and other non-sexual contact on the potential spread of clade I monkeypox in the United States.
- This study explores the impact of population-level immunity and transmissibility on sexual transmission among gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (MSM).
Current Epidemic Growth Status
CFA uses NSSP data on emergency department visits to estimate whether COVID-19 infections are growing, declining or remain stable.
- For a real-time look at the current estimates, see our Epidemic Growth Status for States and Territories.
- For more information on our methods for producing epidemic growth status, see our Behind the Model.
Technical Explainer
CFA's technical explainer dives into infectious disease transmission models and breaks down elements of compartmental and agent-based models.
COVID-19 Ensemble Forecasts
CFA now coordinates the COVID-19 Forecast Hub (CovidHub). The CovidHub solicits short-term forecasts of emergency department (ED) visits from NSSP healthcare data and COVID-19 hospital admissions using NHSN respiratory data from teams across the United States. These forecasts are combined into ensemble forecasts that predict the percentage of ED visits and number of hospital admissions due to COVID-19 over the coming weeks.
- For weekly reports and short-term forecasts of ED visits and hospital admissions due to COVID-19 provided at the national and state levels, see COVID-19 Ensemble Forecasts.