Quarterly Provisional Death Rates for COVID-19

1The number of deaths per 100,000 total population.

NOTES: Deaths from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) were identified using underlying cause-of-death codes U07.1 in the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision. The death rates for “12 months ending with quarter” (also called moving average rate) are the average rates for the 12 months that end with the quarter on the horizontal time axis. Estimates for the 12-month period ending with a specific quarter include all seasons of the year and, thus, are insensitive to seasonality. Map displays age-adjusted rates for the 12 months ending with the most recent quarter. Crude and age-adjusted data for prior quarters are available for download.

Quarterly Provisional Estimates Technical Notes

SOURCE: NCHS, National Vital Statistics System. Estimates for 2020 are based on provisional data. Estimates for 2019 and 2018 are based on final data (available from: http://wonder.cdc.gov/).

Suggested Citation:
Ahmad FB, Cisewski JA. Quarterly provisional estimates for selected indicators of mortality, 2018-Quarter 3, 2020. National Center for Health Statistics. National Vital Statistics System, Vital Statistics Rapid Release Program. 2021.


Page last reviewed: June 8, 2021