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ORIGINAL RESEARCH

Using Current Smoking Prevalence to Project Lung Cancer Morbidity and Mortality in Georgia by 2020

Year Overall, % Men, % Women, %
1985 29.6 38.6 21.6
1986 27.7 30.2 25.4
1987 25.9 29.4 22.8
1988 25.9 30.3 22.0
1989 23.7 28.5 19.4
1990 24.5 27.7 21.5
1991 22.0 25.6 18.6
1992 19.4 22.6 16.4
1993 23.9 26.9 21.2
1994 22.8 24.8 21.0
1995 20.5 24.3 17.0
1996 20.3 24.7 16.2
1997 22.4 25.2 19.8
1998 23.6 28.0 19.7
1999 23.7 28.3 19.6
2000 23.5 26.3 20.9
2001 23.7 25.7 21.8
2002 23.2 26.6 20.1
2003 22.8 25.8 19.9
2004 20.0 22.3 17.8
2005 22.1 25.1 19.3
2006 19.9 22.4 17.6
2007 19.4 21.2 17.6
2008 19.5 21.8 17.4
2009 17.6 20.0 15.5
2010 17.6 20.0 15.4

 
Figure 1.
Current adult smoking prevalence, Georgia, 1985–2010. Current adult smoking is defined as adults aged 18 or older who have smoked at least 100 cigarettes in their lifetime and now smoke every day or on some days. Source: Georgia Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System.

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Year Men Women
Incidence Mortality Incidence Mortality
1990 185.5 45.1
1991 185.6 46.8
1992 173.6 48.0
1993 181.0 47.8
1994 177.9 50.9
1995 180.2 51.8
1996 163.4 48.9
1997 163.5 54.5
1998 182.8 160.1 64.2 54.4
1999 186.4 157.6 68.9 50.5
2000 191.3 156.5 72.8 57.4
2001 189.0 155.3 73.7 55.4
2002 185.0 151.9 73.8 52.4
2003 179.9 142.5 73.5 57.3
2004 173.4 146.1 71.8 53.1
2005 167.3 135.8 73.8 53.0
2006 167.2 135.0 73.4 52.8
2007 163.8 128.4 76.9 53.6
2008 155.6 125.6 76.0 53.2
2009 152.5 122.8 76.3 52.8
2010 151.4 120.1 76.6 52.4
2011 150.4 117.5 76.9 51.9
2012 149.3 114.9 77.2 51.5
2013 148.3 112.3 77.6 51.1
2014 147.2 109.9 77.9 50.7
2015 146.2 107.5 78.2 50.3
2016 145.2 105.1 78.5 49.9
2017 144.2 102.8 78.8 49.5
2018 143.1 100.5 79.1 49.1
2019 142.1 98.3 79.4 48.7
2020 141.1 96.1 79.8 48.3

 
Figure 2.
Age-adjusted lung cancer incidence rates (1998–2008), mortality rates (1990–2007), incidence rate projections (2009–2020), and mortality rate projections (2008–2020), adults aged 35 years or older, by sex, Georgia. Incidence data were not available for men and women from 1990 through 1997. Average annual rates per 100,000 population were age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population. Projections were calculated by multiplying the age-adjusted rate by the respective smoking-attributable rate for all adults, men, and women. The rates calculated were then multiplied by the annual percentage change from 2001 through 2008 for incidence rates and 2000 through 2007 for mortality rates. Source: Georgia Comprehensive Cancer Registry.

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