Volume 10 — May 09, 2013
ORIGINAL RESEARCH
Using Current Smoking Prevalence to Project Lung Cancer Morbidity and Mortality in Georgia by 2020
| Year | Overall, % | Men, % | Women, % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1985 | 29.6 | 38.6 | 21.6 |
| 1986 | 27.7 | 30.2 | 25.4 |
| 1987 | 25.9 | 29.4 | 22.8 |
| 1988 | 25.9 | 30.3 | 22.0 |
| 1989 | 23.7 | 28.5 | 19.4 |
| 1990 | 24.5 | 27.7 | 21.5 |
| 1991 | 22.0 | 25.6 | 18.6 |
| 1992 | 19.4 | 22.6 | 16.4 |
| 1993 | 23.9 | 26.9 | 21.2 |
| 1994 | 22.8 | 24.8 | 21.0 |
| 1995 | 20.5 | 24.3 | 17.0 |
| 1996 | 20.3 | 24.7 | 16.2 |
| 1997 | 22.4 | 25.2 | 19.8 |
| 1998 | 23.6 | 28.0 | 19.7 |
| 1999 | 23.7 | 28.3 | 19.6 |
| 2000 | 23.5 | 26.3 | 20.9 |
| 2001 | 23.7 | 25.7 | 21.8 |
| 2002 | 23.2 | 26.6 | 20.1 |
| 2003 | 22.8 | 25.8 | 19.9 |
| 2004 | 20.0 | 22.3 | 17.8 |
| 2005 | 22.1 | 25.1 | 19.3 |
| 2006 | 19.9 | 22.4 | 17.6 |
| 2007 | 19.4 | 21.2 | 17.6 |
| 2008 | 19.5 | 21.8 | 17.4 |
| 2009 | 17.6 | 20.0 | 15.5 |
| 2010 | 17.6 | 20.0 | 15.4 |
Figure 1. Current adult smoking prevalence, Georgia,
1985–2010. Current adult smoking is defined as adults aged 18 or older who
have smoked at least 100 cigarettes in their lifetime and now smoke every
day or on some days. Source: Georgia Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance
System.
| Year | Men | Women | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incidence | Mortality | Incidence | Mortality | |
| 1990 | — | 185.5 | — | 45.1 |
| 1991 | — | 185.6 | — | 46.8 |
| 1992 | — | 173.6 | — | 48.0 |
| 1993 | — | 181.0 | — | 47.8 |
| 1994 | — | 177.9 | — | 50.9 |
| 1995 | — | 180.2 | — | 51.8 |
| 1996 | — | 163.4 | — | 48.9 |
| 1997 | — | 163.5 | — | 54.5 |
| 1998 | 182.8 | 160.1 | 64.2 | 54.4 |
| 1999 | 186.4 | 157.6 | 68.9 | 50.5 |
| 2000 | 191.3 | 156.5 | 72.8 | 57.4 |
| 2001 | 189.0 | 155.3 | 73.7 | 55.4 |
| 2002 | 185.0 | 151.9 | 73.8 | 52.4 |
| 2003 | 179.9 | 142.5 | 73.5 | 57.3 |
| 2004 | 173.4 | 146.1 | 71.8 | 53.1 |
| 2005 | 167.3 | 135.8 | 73.8 | 53.0 |
| 2006 | 167.2 | 135.0 | 73.4 | 52.8 |
| 2007 | 163.8 | 128.4 | 76.9 | 53.6 |
| 2008 | 155.6 | 125.6 | 76.0 | 53.2 |
| 2009 | 152.5 | 122.8 | 76.3 | 52.8 |
| 2010 | 151.4 | 120.1 | 76.6 | 52.4 |
| 2011 | 150.4 | 117.5 | 76.9 | 51.9 |
| 2012 | 149.3 | 114.9 | 77.2 | 51.5 |
| 2013 | 148.3 | 112.3 | 77.6 | 51.1 |
| 2014 | 147.2 | 109.9 | 77.9 | 50.7 |
| 2015 | 146.2 | 107.5 | 78.2 | 50.3 |
| 2016 | 145.2 | 105.1 | 78.5 | 49.9 |
| 2017 | 144.2 | 102.8 | 78.8 | 49.5 |
| 2018 | 143.1 | 100.5 | 79.1 | 49.1 |
| 2019 | 142.1 | 98.3 | 79.4 | 48.7 |
| 2020 | 141.1 | 96.1 | 79.8 | 48.3 |
Figure 2. Age-adjusted lung cancer incidence rates
(1998–2008), mortality rates (1990–2007), incidence rate projections
(2009–2020), and mortality rate projections (2008–2020), adults aged 35
years or older, by sex, Georgia. Incidence data were not available for men
and women from 1990 through 1997. Average annual rates per 100,000
population were age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population. Projections
were calculated by multiplying the age-adjusted rate by the respective
smoking-attributable rate for all adults, men, and women. The rates
calculated were then multiplied by the annual percentage change from 2001
through 2008 for incidence rates and 2000 through 2007 for mortality rates.
Source: Georgia Comprehensive Cancer Registry.
The opinions expressed by authors contributing to this journal do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, the Public Health Service, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or the authors' affiliated institutions.
