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Quick-Learn Lesson

Create an Epi Curve

This Quick Learn lesson will take approximately 10 minutes to complete.

When you are finished, you will be able to create an epidemic curve, or “epi curve.”

You can move through this lesson by using the NEXT and BACK icons below.

Epi curve of cases by week of onset ranging from late July to mid-September.

What is an Epi Curve?

An epi curve is a visual display of the onset of illness among cases associated with an outbreak.

You can learn a lot about an outbreak from an epi curve, such as

  • The outbreak's time trend, that is, the distribution of cases over time
  • Outliers, that is, cases that stand apart from the overall pattern
  • General sense of the outbreak's magnitude
  • Inferences about the outbreak's pattern of spread
  • The most likely time period of exposure

X and Y Axes

An epi curve is represented by a graph with two axes that intersect at right angles.

The horizontal x-axis is the date or time of illness onset among cases.

The vertical y-axis is the number of cases.

Each axis is divided into equally spaced intervals, although the intervals for the two axes may differ.

Epi curve by number of cases by date of onset of illness

Cases

Cases (represented by boxes) are placed along the x-axis according to the date when their earliest symptoms began.

If symptoms for more than one case began on the same date (or time), the boxes are stacked one above the other.

Epi curve by number of cases by date of onset of illness with one case on day 5 and two cases on day 7.

Time Intervals

The unit of time for the x-axis is based on the incubation period of the disease under investigation and the length of time over which cases are distributed.

As a general rule, the unit of time is set at roughly 1/4 (0.25) of the average incubation period for the illness under investigation.

Average incubation period
multiplied by .25 = Intervals

Time Intervals, continued

If the incubation period of an illness is short, the interval on the epi curve might be indicated in hours or even minutes.

View the example below

The incubation period for infection with E. coli O1257:H7 is usually 3–4 days. In this case, you would probably use an interval of one day on the x-axis.

4 days multiplied by 0.25 = 1 day
intervals (4 x 0.25 = 1)

Determining a Title

An epi curve should have a title that describes it, including the type of illness, the place where the outbreak occurred, and the time period.

Cases of [insert illness name] by date of onset, [insert location and time period]

View the example below.

Cases of E. coli O157:H7 by Date of Onset, Epps, Louisiana, February, 2012

Image of Cases of E. Coli O157:h7 by date of onset, Epps, Louisiana.

Your Turn: Exercise 1

Seven cases of hepatitis A have been reported in Homer, Virginia. Construct the epi curve from the line list below.

Select the column heading that you would use to label the x-axis of the epi curve.

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • 6
  • 7
  • 42
  • 31
  • 23
  • 46
  • 54
  • 49
  • 31
  • M
  • M
  • M
  • M
  • M
  • M
  • M
  • Dec 13
  • Jan 5
  • Jan 6
  • Jan 8
  • Jan 9
  • Jan 10
  • Jan 20
  • Dec 26
  • Jan 12
  • Jan 8
  • Jan 16
  • Jan 12
  • Jan 13
  • Jan 20

Your Turn: Exercise 2

Given that the average incubation period for hepatitis A is 28-30 days, what intervals would you use on the x-axis?

Your Turn: Exercise 3

What is the appropriate title for the epi curve?

Empty epi curve by number of cases by date of onset of illness

Your Turn: Exercise 4

Using the following information from a line listing, which date from the Options below represents the Date of Onset for Case 1?

Case Age Sex Date of Onset Date of Diagnosis
1 42 M Dec 13 Dec 26
Empty epi curve for number of cases by onset of symptoms by week; from the week of December 7 to the week of January 16

Options

Your Turn: Exercise 5

Using the following information from a line listing, which date from the Options below represents the Date of Onset for Case 5?

Case Age Sex Date of Onset Date of Diagnosis
5 54 M Jan 9 Jan 12
Epi curve for number of cases by onset of symptoms by week; from the week of December 7 to the week of January 16; one case for the week of January 7 and three cases for the week of January 4

Options

Summary

Congratulations!

You have created a basic epi curve. The completed epi curve is below.

Hepatitis A Cases by Date of Onset in Homer, Virginia,
December 2011–January 2012

Epi curve for number of cases by onset of symptoms by week; from the week of December 7 to the week of January 16; one case for the week of January 7, 4 cases for the week of January 4, and one case for the week of January 11

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