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Techniques for Consistent Forecasting of Future Demand for Major Minerals Using an Input-output Framework.

Leontief-W; Koo-JCM; Nasar-S; Sohn-I

For Reference Only At Bureau Libraries :583 pages

10006475

The objective of this study was to project a set of future production and consumption levels of 26 major nonfuel minerals for the U.S. and world economy to 2030 under alternative assumptions regarding future U.S. and world economic growth and structural change. The main methodological tools used were the 1972 input- output table of the U.S. economy and a revised version of the u.N. World input-output model. The report includes a discussion of the role of resources in the economy, a review of past U.S. minerals policy, and a short summary of previous studies undertaken to project future minerals requirements. The first part of the report concentrates exclusively on alternative projections of future levels of minerals production and consumption in the United States to 2000, while the second part integrates the 26 nonfuel minerals into a global framework to 2030. Questions regarding future regional and global resource depletion are in the last chapter.

19820101

CP; Final Contract Report;

1982

OFR 117-82

WO;

For Reference Only At Bureau Libraries

NY;

Inst. Econ. Anal., N.y. Univ.