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Manpower for the coal mining industry: an assessment of adequacy through the year 2000. Volume I. Executive summary.
Rosenberg JI; Mendis MS; Medville DM
Washington, DC: U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Mines, Contract - C-3134, 1980 Jan; :1-15
This report presents a summary of the analytical approach taken and the conclusions reached in an assessment of the supply and demand for manpower in the coal mining industry through the year 2000. A hybrid system dynamics/econometric model of the coal mining industry was developed which incorporates relationships between technological change, labor productivity, production costs, wages, graduation rates, and other key variables in estimating imbalances between labor supply and demand. Study results indicate that while the supply of production workers is expected to be sufficient under most future demand scenarios, periodic shortages of experienced workers, especially in the Northern Great Plains, can be expected. Other study findings are that the supply of mining engineers will be sufficient under all but the highest coal demand scenario; a shortage of faculty will affect the supply of mining engineers in the near term; and the employment of mining technicians is expected to exhibit the largest increase in any labor category studied. This volume is an Executive Summary which provides a brief description of the study and gives its major conclusions and recommendations. An accompanying volume (Vol. 11) provides a detailed description of the analytical basis for the study, the sources of data used, and a discussion of the conclusions reached.
Coal industry; Coal mines; Manpower; Coal; Computer calculations; Education; Engineering; Forecasting; Mathematical models; Production; Productivity; Regional analysis; Supply and demand; Surface mining; Underground mining
CP; Final Contract Report
NTIS Accession No.
Washington, DC: U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Mines, Contract - C-3134
Mitre Corporation, McLean, VA