The observed decline in 'standard-related' fatal occupational injury rates in California between 1972 and 1983 was examined after adjustment for age and industry to determine if the decline was real or an artifact of demographic shifts in the workforce towards lower risk age groups and industries. A review of worker's compensation data revealed 2,483 fatal injuries among males during the years in question. Crude rates declined by an average of 7 percent annually. Age and industry adjustment reduced the decline to 6.7 percent annually, a still significant trend. Age specific death rates followed a bimodal pattern in most industries, with the highest rates observed at the extremes of age. In the construction industry, however, risk increased with age without a significant peak in younger workers, and in the mining industry, there appeared to be decreasing risk with age. The authors conclude that the observed decline in fatal injury rates in California is not artifactual and requires further study to explain.
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