Opioid Data Analysis
CDC looks at four categories of opioids:
- Natural opioid analgesics, including morphine and codeine, and semi-synthetic opioid analgesics, including drugs such as oxycodone, hydrocodone, hydromorphone, and oxymorphone;
- Methadone, a synthetic opioid;
- Synthetic opioid analgesics other than methadone, including drugs such as tramadol and fentanyl; and
- Heroin, an illicit (illegally-made) opioid synthesized from morphine that can be a white or brown powder, or a black sticky substance.
Opioid analgesics (commonly referred to as prescription opioids) have been used to treat moderate to severe pain in some patients. Natural opioids, semi-synthetic opioids, methadone (a synthetic opioid), and some other synthetic opioids are commonly available by prescription.
Fentanyl is a synthetic opioid that is legally made as a pharmaceutical drug to treat pain, or illegally made as a non-prescription drug and is increasingly used to intensify the effects (or “high”) of other drugs, such as heroin.
How the data are calculated
Historically, CDC’s standard analysis approach using data from the National Vital Statistics System (NVSS) combined the natural, semi-synthetic, and synthetic opioid categories (including methadone) when reporting deaths involving opioid analgesics, also referred to as prescription opioids. Using this method, in 2016 there were 32,445 deaths involving prescription opioids, equivalent to about 89 deaths per day. This was an increase from approximately 22,598 in 2015.1 However, a significant portion of the increase in deaths was due to deaths involving synthetic opioids other than methadone, which likely includes illegally-made fentanyl. Law enforcement agencies have reported recent increases in seizures of illegally-made (non-pharmaceutical) fentanyl.2,3 It is presumed that a large proportion of the increase in deaths is due to illegally-made fentanyl and not prescription opioids.1 Unfortunately, current information reported about overdose deaths from NVSS does not distinguish pharmaceutical fentanyl from illegally-made fentanyl.
Given the surge in availability of illegally-made fentanyl starting in 2013, the CDC Injury Center is now analyzing synthetic opioids (other than methadone) separately from other prescription opioids. This new analysis can provide a more detailed understanding of the increase in different categories of opioid deaths from previous years. Using this analysis, in 2016 there were 17,087 deaths involving this more limited category of prescription opioids (an increase in this category of 1,806 deaths since 2015), equivalent to about 47 deaths per day.1 Changing the way deaths are analyzed seems to result in a decrease in deaths involving prescription opioids. But, this new number is likely an undercount of deaths related to prescription opioids, because it does not include deaths that are associated with pharmaceutical fentanyl, tramadol, and other synthetic opioids that are used as pain relievers.
What this means
Regardless of the analysis strategy used, prescription opioids continue to be involved in more overdose deaths than any other drug, and all the numbers are likely to underestimate the true burden given the large proportion of overdose deaths where the type of drug is not listed on the death certificate. The findings show that two distinct but interconnected trends are driving America’s opioid overdose epidemic: a 17-year increase in deaths from prescription opioid overdoses, and a recent surge in illicit opioid overdoses driven mainly by heroin and illegally-made fentanyl. Both of these trends continued in 2016.4,5
Drug overdose deaths can be hard to categorize
In approximately 1 in 5 drug overdose deaths, no specific drug is listed on the death certificate. In many deaths, multiple drugs are present, and it is difficult to identify which drug or drugs caused the death (for example, heroin or a prescription opioid, when both are present).4,5
- Seth P, Rudd R, Noonan, R, Haegerich, T. Quantifying the Epidemic of Prescription Opioid Overdose Deaths. American Journal of Public Health, March 2018;108(4),e1-e3.
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. CDC Health Advisory: Increases in Fentanyl Drug Confiscations and Fentanyl-related Overdose Fatalities. HAN Health Advisory. October 26, 2015.
- 2017 National Drug Threat Assessment. U.S. Department of Justice, Drug Enforcement Administration. October 2017.
- Hedegaard H, Warner M, Miniño AM. Drug overdose deaths in the United States, 1999–2016. NCHS Data Brief, no 294. Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics. 2017
- Wide-ranging online data for epidemiologic research (WONDER). Atlanta, GA: CDC, National Center for Health Statistics; 2016. Available at http://wonder.cdc.gov