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Volume 30, Number 1—January 2024
Dispatch

Estimation of Incubation Period of Mpox during 2022 Outbreak in Pereira, Colombia

Jorge M. Estrada AlvarezComments to Author , Maryluz Hincapié Acuña, Hernán F. García Arias, Franklyn E. Prieto Alvarado, and Juan J. Ospina Ramírez1
Author affiliations: Instituto Nacional de Salud, Bogotá, Colombia (J.M. Estrada Alvarez); Salud Comfamiliar–Caja de Compensación Familiar de Risaralda, Pereira, Colombia (J.M. Estrada Alvarez); Corporación Universitaria Minuto de Dios, Pereira (M. Hincapie Acuña); SISTEMIC Research Group, Universidad de Antioquia, Medellin, Colombia (H.F. Garcia Arias); Secretaria de Salud Pública y Seguridad Social, Pereira (J.J. Ospina Ramírez); Instituto Nacional de Salud, Bogotá (F.E. Prieto Alvarado)

Main Article

Table

Estimated mean and percentile parametric distributions for incubation period in 11 confirmed cases of mpox, Pereira, Colombia*

Model Mean incubation, d (95% CI)
 AICc
P50 P5 P95
Gamma 6.7 (4.6–9.5) 2.0 (1.0–3.9) 15.9 (10.6–24.5) 61.64
log-normal 6.4 (4.3–9.2) 2.2 (1.0–3.9) 18.6 (10.7–37.6) 62.79
Weibull 7.1 (4.9–9.9) 1.9 (1.0–4.0) 15.0 (10.6–22.6) 61.18

*P5, P50, and P95 indicate the percentiles of the estimated distribution. AICc, corrected Akaike information criterion

Main Article

1All authors contributed equally to this article.

Page created: November 02, 2023
Page updated: December 20, 2023
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