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 Modeling Potential Responses to Smallpox as a Bioterrorist Weapon

Appendix I: A Mathematical Review of the Transmission of Smallpox

Martin I. Meltzer,* Inger Damon,* James W. LeDuc,* and J. Donald Millar†
*Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA; and †Don Millar & Associates, Inc., Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Figure. Frequency, by generation of disease, of the number of persons infected with smallpox by an infectious person. Average refers to the mean number of persons infected. Not all sources reported five generations of disease. In some instances, the reported outbreak was contained or died out before the fifth generation (23-26,29,30). 

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Figure. Frequency, by generation of disease, of the number of persons infected with smallpox by an infectious person. Average refers to the mean number of persons infected. Not all sources reported five generations of disease. In some instances, the reported outbreak was contained or died out before the fifth generation (23-26,29,30).
 


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This page last reviewed December 15, 2001

Emerging Infectious Diseases Journal
National Center for Infectious Diseases
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention