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Volume 12, Number 1, January 2006

Pathogen Transmission and Clinic Scheduling

John R. Hotchkiss,* David G. Strike,†‡ and Philip S. Crooke§
*University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; †Regions Hospital, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; ‡University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; and §Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee, USA

 
 
Figure 1.
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Figure 1. Schematic of model and segregation. A) Depiction of first 3 patient encounters. P1, P2, and P3, patients 1, 2, and 3; C, caregiver; E, environment. Arrows depict path (direction) of transmission if 1 participant in the interaction is infectious or contaminated. P(hand hygiene), probability that a contaminated caregiver will clear his or her contamination between patients; P(environ decontam), probability that a contaminated environment will be effectively decontaminated between patient visits. Direct patient-to-patient transmission is shown by dashed arrows. Because the model treats patient-to-patient transmission as a symmetrical process (the probability of transmission from patient to patient is identical regardless of which of the interacting patients is infectious), dashed arrows have 2 heads. B) Effects of different scheduling strategies. Solid circles, infectious high-risk patients; open circles, noninfectious high-risk patients; solid squares, infectious low-risk patients; open squares, noninfectious low-risk patients. Dots and arrows leading to P4 and P5 represent continuation of the chain of transmission. Ppc, probability of transmission from patient to caregiver; Pcp, probability of transmission from caregiver to patient; Pec, probability of transmission from environment to caregiver; Pce, probability of transmission from caregiver to environment; Ppe, probability of transmission from patient to environment; Pep, probability of transmission from environment to patient.

 

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This page last reviewed December 21, 2005

Emerging Infectious Diseases Journal
National Center for Infectious Diseases
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention